The Euro ended the week as one of the worst performers as the post ECB rally faded. Markets see the Eurozone lagging other major central banks in reducing their stimulus plans and raising interest rates.
Australian Dollar ended the week the strongest of the major pairs as the RBA stopped defending the yield curve and the New Zealand dollar rose on potential further RBNZ rate hikes.
The BoC decision to taper its QE program and look to a rate rise around mid 2022 was well received but gains in the currency were limited as oil prices retreated into month end.
The week ahead has a large amount of data. FOMC policy announcement is expected to see the timeline to taper QE through mid 2022 setting the stage for rates hikes to follow in 2H 2022. The BOE will announce its interest rate decision Thursday also announcing the timeline and value of its QE strategy with the market pricing in a 15bps.
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Friday US payrolls will be a look into future Fed decisions. Expectations of +450-500k is enough to keep the Fed on track to announce tapering in November.
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